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What does the disconnect between President Trump’s claims and market sentiment suggest?

Popular prediction market, Polymarket, has predicted the chance of a U.S. recession as 61%, according to its latest update. However, the U.S president, Donald Trump, has kept his confidence in the U.S economy as indicated by his recent X (formerly Twitter) posts. Trump cites falling interest rates, low inflation, and strong tariffs as positive indicators of this.

Source: Polymarket

 

The contradiction in the market sentiment and Trump’s claims raises concerns about where the crypto and global finance stand in 2025.

Will the global market anxiety slow crypto growth?

A potential U.S recession could ripple across global economies, lowering investor confidence and digital asset demand while slowing trade. Traders could expect increased volatility in the crypto market over the next few weeks and months if global trade wars persist.

As traditional markets dip, fueled by recession fears, capital outflow from DeFi and blockchain projects is possible. This could plunge several altcoins. One should keep an eye on the progression of Trump’s trade tariffs for further insights.

About Post Author

Denis Mwirigi

Denis is an experienced blockchain enthusiast and researcher. He is passionate about the opportunities and possibilities afforded by the advancement of this new technology. With a background in engineering, he blends technical expertise with a deep interest in foreign exchange, financial journalism, and technological trends.
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